Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 9.365274 10.474250 11.671914 13.063096 14.636650 16.363603 18.405649
2025-04-20 7.700775 9.172356 10.873259 12.990715 15.564705 18.602964 22.476917
2025-04-27 6.527944 8.223063 10.304886 13.064043 16.646333 21.168898 27.356786
2025-05-04 5.550096 7.356982 9.702768 12.997144 17.545547 23.663920 32.618220
2025-05-11 4.655885 6.463507 8.931930 12.588068 17.932172 25.560904 37.460557
2025-05-18 3.968024 5.748454 8.296313 12.262608 18.380216 27.620728 42.945356
2025-05-25 3.426332 5.163382 7.759705 11.994261 18.865687 29.818545 49.085930
2025-06-01 3.006313 4.700250 7.337446 11.832100 19.486292 32.332752 56.258606
2025-06-08 2.671352 4.322880 6.994376 11.740975 20.204709 35.131285 64.512856
2025-06-15 2.460768 4.117829 6.900385 12.050883 21.662909 39.473741 76.542384
2025-06-22 2.208883 3.809139 6.588271 11.926799 22.312435 42.450952 86.586674
2025-06-29 1.966131 3.485033 6.205582 11.613553 22.548148 44.670756 95.574912
2025-07-06 1.763418 3.212765 5.890296 11.399585 22.983450 47.457464 106.666731
2025-07-13 1.643725 3.079951 5.818733 11.658139 24.444649 52.710251 124.800003
2025-07-20 1.542953 2.970624 5.778089 11.975224 26.096255 58.739090 146.490498
2025-07-27 1.434050 2.831508 5.659522 12.108551 27.366296 64.167184 168.212278
2025-08-03 1.303791 2.633041 5.393089 11.874469 27.739841 67.517071 185.310327
2025-08-10 1.191919 2.459760 5.158207 11.677096 28.170797 71.117569 204.231794
2025-08-17 1.094516 2.306108 4.946879 11.503511 28.633889 74.916508 224.952374
2025-08-24 1.013399 2.178820 4.778659 11.409477 29.290977 79.405361 249.310622
2025-08-31 0.944124 2.070185 4.639743 11.368008 30.086236 84.480854 277.320409
2025-09-07 0.904939 2.026030 4.646504 11.703380 32.002337 93.340169 321.606731
2025-09-14 0.843841 1.923507 4.500196 11.610432 32.667739 98.516661 354.316960